Trump privately skeptical about military engagement with Iran despite oil ship attacks
The disconnect between Trump‘s comments in the interview — in which he also warned that he would “certainly” go to war with Iran if the country develops nuclear weapons — and recent statements by Pompeo and national security adviser John Bolton comes at a time of escalating military posturing between the two countries and heightened concerns about a confrontation.
Pompeo, speaking Tuesday after a visit to Central Command, the US military command center that oversees operations in the Middle East, said he’d coordinated with generals to make “sure we have the capability to respond If Iran makes a bad decision.”
On Tuesday, Trump insisted his administration is prepared to confront Iran, but stopped well short of signaling any imminent military action. “We’re looking at Iran,” he told reporters at the White House. “We’re very prepared for Iran. We’ll see what happens.”
“They’ve been a nation of terror,” he continued. “Now we’ll see what happens. We’ll see what happens. They are a much different country today than they were two and a half years ago, when I came into office.”
But Trump‘s Cabinet officials have taken a series of steps that have helped propel tensions and led world leaders to call for an easing of tensions.
Speaking Sunday on CBS’ “Face the Nation,” Pompeo said that “the United States is considering a full range of options.” When asked if a military response was included in that set of actions, Pompeo said, “Of course.”
‘A question mark’
Tehran has categorically denied the accusations, but it has ramped up diplomatic pressure. On Monday, Iran said it would raise enrichment of low-grade uranium beyond stockpile limits set by the 2015 international nuclear deal. Officials in Tehran have said Europe must make moves to help Iran’s economy benefit or it will take further action.
At this point Trump is not overly concerned with the rhetoric coming from his team, the official said, despite his earlier frustrations that advisers such as Bolton appeared to be getting out ahead of him.
At the same time, the official said, Trump has largely given up talk of starting a diplomatic channel, believing the Iranians aren’t interested in coming to some new agreement.
A second official said Trump, while keeping a close eye on the situation, has not voiced a firm view of how he wants to proceed going forward, instead asking for options without stating what his preferred end goal might be.
In his interview with Time, Trump laid out in greater specificity what kind of provocation he believes would justify military action. “I would certainly go over nuclear weapons … and I would keep the other a question mark,” Trump said, referring to the possibility of military action to protect oil supplies.
A second source with knowledge of the situation told CNN that the administration believes Iran is targeting tankers in an effort to “impact the oil market” and provoke Trump over an issue that they know he cares a lot about.
“Their message is if we can’t move oil through these points of transit, nobody will,” the source said. Iran has “openly stated that they would interfere with oil movement,” the source said, adding that “it hasn’t had much affect.”
Speaking to Time, Trump also downplayed the importance of the Gulf of Oman, suggesting that the US doesn’t rely on the region for oil and energy as much as other countries. “We’re not in the position that we used to be in, in the Middle East,” Trump said.
That stance is likely to unsettle allies in the Gulf, such as Saudi Arabia, which rely on unimpeded shipping through the Gulf for their export; countries reliant on oil from the Middle East; as well as businesses, energy and insurance markets and stock exchanges the world over.
In contrast, Pompeo struck an entirely different note at Central Command, stressing the importance of those shipping lanes to the global economy.
‘The real threat’
“Every nation that has a deep interest in protecting that shipping lane, so that energy can move around the world and support their economies, needs to make sure they understand the real threat, the real threat to their interests in the region and the real threat to their countries’ economies if we’re not successful in doing that,” Pompeo said.
“The administration has been going it alone, escalating pressure on Iran, reneging on the Iran nuclear deal,” Schiff, a California Democrat, told CNN’s John Berman on “New Day.”
“And now, when you have Iran engaged in these provocative and belligerent acts attacking shipping, we can’t find our allies anywhere,” Schiff said. “They’re worried about this administration rushing to war. They don’t have trust in the administration. The administration has ignored their warnings.”
On Tuesday, German Chancellor Angela Merkel spoke to reporters about US allegations about the tanker attacks. “Of course, we take these statements very seriously and there is also high evidence,” she said. “And that does not prevent me from saying that we do our best to resolve the situation of the conflict with Iran in peaceful ways. Germany is committed to that.”
“We have to be very, very careful here,” one European diplomat told CNN about the US charges against Tehran. “I’m not saying that I don’t share their assessment, I’m just saying that so far, we have not decided where we are at, basically, we’re still gathering information.”
Pompeo, speaking at Central Command Tuesday said that, the US would keep working with partners all around the world. “We’ll continue to provide additional information about those attacks,” he said.
CNN’s Joe Johns contributed to this report.